How Jarvis finds value
No black boxes. Here is exactly how a tip is born — from raw race data to the pick in your Telegram group.
Get Today's Tips →Estimated chance vs market price
Every runner is rated on form, going, class, pace and value. The model outputs a win probability — we then compare it to the price the market is offering.
Rate the runner
Form, going, draw, pace and class feed a transparent rating. Nothing hidden.
Estimate the chance
The model converts the rating into a win probability for each horse.
Price check
We compare our estimated chance against the bookmaker odds. Value exists only when our number beats the price.
Flag the bet
A runner is tipped only when there is genuine value — not because it "should" win.
From data to your phone
Capture
We pull the day's UK & Irish racecards automatically.
Score
The model rates every runner and finds the value picks.
Deliver
Picks post to the private Telegram group each morning with reasoning.
Settle
Results are recorded end-of-day and the running P&L is updated.
Discipline is the edge
Some days the model finds no value. On those days we tell you to sit out — we never force a tip just to look busy.
⚠️ 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org